生长分化因子15对急性冠状动脉综合征患者中期预后的预测价值
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(南京医科大学附属常州市第二人民医院心内科,江苏省常州市 213000)

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孙铃,硕士,主治医师, 研究方向为动脉粥样硬化与心力衰竭的发病机制与治疗,E-mail为sunling85125@hotmail.com。

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Mid-term prognostic value of serum growth differentiation factor-15 in patients with acute coronary syndrome
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Department of Cardiology, Changzhou No.2 People’s Hospital, Affiliated to Nanjing Medical University, Changzhou, Jiangsu 213000, China)

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    目的 评估生长分化因子15(GDF-15)对急性冠状动脉综合征(ACS)患者中期预后的预测价值。 方法 连续入选95例急性冠状动脉综合征患者,采用酶联免疫吸附双抗体夹心法(ELISA)测定血浆GDF-15浓度,根据GDF-15中位数分为低浓度组和高浓度组,对出院患者进行定期随访,分别计算并比较2组患者的中期生存率以及主要不良心脏事件(MACE)发生率。生存率评估采用生存分析法。使用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析GDF-15浓度对ACS患者的中期预后的预测价值。 结果 ACS患者GDF-15浓度为921.56±462.20 ng/L,共随访患者95例,平均随访时间33.76±6.29月,死亡4例。生存分析提示GDF-15高浓度组患者的生存率低于GDF-15低浓度组(P=0.039)。GDF-15评估ACS患者中期生存的ROC曲线下面积(AUC)为0.853(SE=0.074,P=0.017,95%CI 0.708~0.998),而GDF-15在预测ACS患者中期发生MACE的ROC曲线下面积为0.805(SE=0.068,P=0.000,95%CI 0.672~0.938)。 结论 GDF-15可反映ACS患者的中期预后,作为一个有潜力的新标志物,能更好地帮助ACS患者进行危险分层及评估预后。

    Abstract:

    Aim To evaluate the mid-term prognostic value of serum growth differentiation factor-15(GDF-15) in acute coronary syndrome(ACS). Methods Totally 95 consecutive patients with acute coronary syndrome were included. Their baseline levels of serum growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) were determined using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). The patients were divided into low concentration group and high concentration group according to median value of GDF-15. The mid-term survival rate and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) during the follow-up period were observed using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis method. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was measured to evaluate the mid-term prognostic value of serum growth differentiation factor-15 in acute coronary syndrome. Results There were 95 cases in the whole study including four deaths. The mean follow-up was 33.76±6.29 months. The serum growth differentiation factor-15 level in acute coronary syndrome patients were 921.56±462.20 ng/L. Survival analysis showed that survival rate in patients with high level of serum GDF-15 was statistically lower than low level of serum group (P=0.039). The area under the ROC curve is 0.853(SE=0.074,P=0.017,95%CI 0.708~0.998)in evaluation of mid-term survival rate and 0.805(SE=0.068,P=0.000,95%CI 0.672~0.938)in predicating MACE. Conclusion GDF-15 level predicted mid-term prognosis in acute coronary syndrome. As a new biochemical marker, GDF-15 is of clinical significance in evaluating risk stratification and mid-term prognosis in acute coronary syndrome.

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孙铃,王庆捷.生长分化因子15对急性冠状动脉综合征患者中期预后的预测价值[J].中国动脉硬化杂志,2017,25(5):505~508.

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  • 收稿日期:2016-08-31
  • 最后修改日期:2016-12-13
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  • 在线发布日期: 2017-05-27